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☆ Downturn in Canada's economy seen deepening if US growth fades
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The Canadian central bank expects that the economy will avoid a recession, and last month forecast growth of 0.8% for both the third and fourth quarters. Since then, preliminary data has indicted a shallow economic contraction for a second straight quarter in the third quarter. Analysts say that if U.S. activity slows, then the Canadian economy could shrink in the current quarter as well. BMO projects that U.S. growth will slow to 0.9% in the fourth quarter and that Canada's economy will shrink 1%. The potential for further weakening in the Canadian economy is already evident in money markets.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Karl Schamotta, Sal Guatieri, Stephen Brown, Brown, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Roberts Bank, REUTERS, Rights TORONTO, Bank of, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, BMO, North, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Delta, British Columbia, Canada, United States, Bank of Canada, Canadian, U.S, sniffles, North America
☆ Canada's economy stalls in August, seen slipping into recession in Q3
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Ismail Shakil Steve Scherer | Ismail Shakil | Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
With the economy stumbling along slower than the Bank of Canada forecast just last week, analysts said there is no need to raise rates again from 5.0%, a 22-year high. July GDP was revised to being marginally negative from an initial report of zero growth, Statistics Canada said. This data reaffirms our view that the Bank of Canada is done raising rates for this cycle," Figueiredo said. The central bank has said its previous rate hikes are sinking in. The projected contraction in third-quarter annualized growth is far lower than the Bank of Canada (BoC) forecast last week.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Tiago Figueiredo, Figueiredo, Macklem, Benjamin Reitzes, Reitzes, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Roberts Bank, REUTERS, Rights OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Canadian, Reuters, Statistics, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Delta, British Columbia, Canada, Canadian, Statistics Canada, Ottawa
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